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    AI Policy Radar

    A live reading of where AI regulation stands, where it is heading, and what comes into force next.

    Countdowns
    Live — recalculated on every page load
    Instrument set
    Version 2.4 — last reviewed 16 October 2026
    Next review 13 November 2026
    Jurisdictions
    25
    Instruments
    59
    Deadlines
    14
    Signals
    66

    The instrument set is reviewed on a four-week cycle. An off-cycle update is published whenever a tracked instrument is adopted, amended, struck down, or its application date moves.

    The reading

    What matters now

    Drawn from the record rather than written by hand, so it moves as dates pass. 9 tracked obligations change status within the next twelve months.

    1. 01 · Compliance date
      15 days

      New York RAISE Act — frontier developer registration opens. Applies in US States from 1 November 2026. Who is affected: Developers of frontier AI models offered in New York

    2. 02 · Compliance date
      46 days

      EU AI Act — content-marking grace period ends. Applies in European Union from 2 December 2026. Who is affected: Providers of generative AI systems already on the EU market before August 2026

    3. 03 · Latest signal · Denmark
      15 October 2026

      Danish Supreme Court: AI-generated child abuse material is punished like real imagery. In case 98/2025, the Højesteret held that criminal code §235 covers AI-generated depictions of minors even where the persons are fictional. It ruled that fictionality must not reduce the sentence, and upheld 18 months in prison.

    Impending

    Compliance countdown

    Fixed compliance dates and obligation triggers, ticking in real time against the current date.

    US-ST1 November 2026

    New York RAISE Act — frontier developer registration opens

    015Days
    :
    04Hrs
    :
    59Min

    Frontier AI developers must begin registering with New York State from November 2026 under the RAISE Act, ahead of full compliance duties, including 72-hour safety-incident reporting, from January 2027. A new state digital office oversees compliance.

    Who is affected: Developers of frontier AI models offered in New York
    EU2 December 2026

    EU AI Act — content-marking grace period ends

    046Days
    :
    04Hrs
    :
    59Min

    End of the grace period for the machine-readable marking obligation for AI systems placed on the market before 2 August 2026. From this date, all covered generative AI systems in the EU must mark outputs as AI-generated.

    Who is affected: Providers of generative AI systems already on the EU market before August 2026
    EU9 December 2026

    EU revised Product Liability Directive applies to AI products

    053Days
    :
    04Hrs
    :
    59Min

    Directive (EU) 2024/2853 applies to products placed on the market from this date — explicitly covering software and AI systems, with disclosure-of-evidence tools and eased burden of proof for claimants.

    Who is affected: Manufacturers and providers placing AI-enabled products on the EU market
    EU31 December 2026

    EU DSA duties bite for ChatGPT as a designated search engine

    075Days
    :
    04Hrs
    :
    59Min

    Four months after the 31 August 2026 designation, ChatGPT must meet the Digital Services Act's systemic-risk obligations: annual risk assessment and mitigation, independent audit, researcher data access, transparency reporting and a crisis-response mechanism.

    Who is affected: OpenAI, and any other generative AI service crossing the 45 million EU monthly user threshold
    US-ST1 January 2027

    Colorado re-enacted AI law takes effect

    076Days
    :
    04Hrs
    :
    59Min

    SB 26-189 replaces the suspended SB 24-205 with an automated decision-making technology act: duties against algorithmic discrimination, documentation and consumer notices for AI used in consequential decisions.

    Who is affected: Developers and deployers of AI used in consequential decisions affecting Colorado residents
    NO1 January 2027

    Norway — expected EEA incorporation decision on the AI Act

    076Days
    :
    04Hrs
    :
    59Min

    Indicative planning date for the EEA Joint Committee decision incorporating the AI Act into the EEA Agreement, after which Norwegian transposition sets the domestic application date. Treated as a planning marker, not a fixed legal deadline.

    Who is affected: Norwegian providers and deployers of AI systems, and public bodies procuring them
    EU2 August 2027

    EU AI Act — legacy GPAI models must comply

    289Days
    :
    04Hrs
    :
    59Min

    General-purpose AI models placed on the market before 2 August 2025 must be brought into full compliance with the AI Act's GPAI obligations by this date.

    Who is affected: Providers of GPAI models released before August 2025
    EU2 December 2027

    EU AI Act — high-risk obligations apply (Annex III)

    411Days
    :
    04Hrs
    :
    59Min

    Post-Omnibus application date for standalone high-risk AI systems (employment, credit, education, essential services, law enforcement): full risk-management, data-governance, human-oversight and conformity obligations.

    Who is affected: Providers and deployers of Annex III high-risk AI systems in the EU
    EU2 August 2028

    EU AI Act — high-risk obligations apply (Annex I, embedded)

    655Days
    :
    04Hrs
    :
    59Min

    Post-Omnibus application date for AI systems embedded in regulated products (machinery, medical devices, vehicles): AI Act high-risk duties integrate with sectoral conformity regimes.

    Who is affected: Manufacturers of AI-enabled regulated products sold in the EU

    Now in Effect

    US-ST•1 October 2026
    Connecticut SB 5 obligations start applying
    In effect for 15 days
    US-ST•30 September 2026
    California — Governor's decision deadline on the 2026 AI bills
    In effect for 16 days
    EU•2 August 2026
    EU AI Act — transparency obligations applied
    In effect for 75 days
    KR•22 January 2026
    South Korea AI Framework Act in effect
    In effect for 267 days
    US-ST•1 January 2026
    Texas TRAIGA in effect
    In effect for 288 days
    Global view

    Horizon radar

    Concentric rings denote distance to impact, derived automatically from effective dates. The core is in force today; outer rings map emerging signals.

    Each dot is one instrument, placed by policy domain around the circle and by distance to impact from the centre out. Hover or arrow to read it in the panel; select it to open the full entry.

    Frontier safetyData & privacyIP & copyrightEmploymentBiometricsProcurementStandardsINTLEUCNUS-STINTLUS-STEUKRUSSAINEUNOUKUS-STUS-STUS-STUS-STUSCNUS-STNOAUAENORDCNUSAENOUSSGINTLEUCNUKITINTLFIJPUS-STINTLUSDKINSAUS-STUS-STUS-STUS-STCoEDKUKQANOAU-NATBRSECAEUIn force · 46Coming into force · 4Proposed / Draft · 7Early signal · 2
    Selected instrument

    Hover or focus any blip to read the instrument here. Select it to open the full entry with obligations and primary sources. Codes under each blip mark the jurisdiction.

    Rings, centre out (closest to impact first)
    • In force46
    • Coming into force4
    • Proposed / Draft7
    • Early signal2
    Showing

    59 of 59 instruments

    Timeline

    Early signals and adoptions

    A chronological record of significant policy events. These are the events that populate the outer rings of the radar above.

    Showing 12 of 66 signals

    October 2026

    15 October 2026Recent

    Danish Supreme Court: AI-generated child abuse material is punished like real imagery

    In case 98/2025, the Højesteret held that criminal code §235 covers AI-generated depictions of minors even where the persons are fictional. It ruled that fictionality must not reduce the sentence, and upheld 18 months in prison.

    ContextDK hub →
    14 October 2026Recent

    Commission confirms first AI Act enforcement actions against frontier labs

    EVP Henna Virkkunen said the AI Office has sent its first formal requests for information to providers of the most advanced models, covering security, external evaluation and usage monitoring, after summer incidents involving AI agents. The Commission's spokesperson had earlier confirmed RFIs to more than 30 AI companies.

    ContextEU hub →
    14 October 2026Recent

    UK officials say AI legislation and AISI statutory powers remain undecided

    After a 12 October Commons statement on frontier and agentic AI risk, officials told MPs that ministers had not yet decided whether to legislate on AI, give the AI Security Institute statutory testing powers, or add AI safeguards to the Cyber Security and Resilience Bill.

    ContextUK hub →
    14 October 2026Recent

    UAE unveils an 'AI Control Tower' to monitor government AI agents

    A new oversight layer will track accountability for agentic AI deployed across federal services. It follows the June 2026 AI and Data Authority consolidation. Its legal mandate is not yet confirmed in an official release (news-sourced).

    ContextAE hub →
    8 October 2026Recent

    Australia moves toward mandatory AI standards with incident reporting

    After a consultation on national AI and data-centre standards closed, the government signalled legislation in 2027 including reporting of rogue-agent incidents. News-sourced; awaiting an official paper.

    ContextAU-NAT hub →
    6 October 2026Recent

    SDAIA reopens consultation on PDPL implementing-regulation changes

    A revised draft adds in-Kingdom data localisation, wider breach-notification triggers and expanded registration duties. Comments close 5 November 2026.

    ContextSA hub →
    1 October 2026Recent

    Connecticut's AI and online safety law takes effect

    Public Act 26-15 and companion privacy amendments took effect, covering AI chatbot disclosures, facial recognition and surveillance pricing.

    ContextUS-ST hub →
    1 October 2026Recent

    Brazil's AI bill vote pushed past the October elections

    The Chamber of Deputies vote on PL 2338/2023 has been deferred until after the elections, more than 18 months after Senate passage. Reported by Senate radio; no new date set.

    ContextBR hub →

    September 2026

    30 September 2026Recent

    California enacts SB 574 on lawyers' and arbitrators' use of generative AI

    The first state statute on attorney AI use. It bars delegating the practice of law to generative AI and requires lawyers to verify citations and disclose AI use in court filings. Arbitrators may not delegate decisions to AI. It takes effect 1 January 2027.

    ContextUS-ST hub →
    29 September 2026Recent

    US executive order renames AI as 'Super Intelligence' in federal communications

    Executive Order 14434 directs agencies to use the term Super Intelligence and asks the science office to propose a federal definition. Terminological rather than regulatory, but a definition could shape later rules.

    ContextUS hub →
    21 September 2026Recent

    New York sets frontier developer registration for November

    Governor Hochul announced that frontier AI developers must register with the state from November 2026 under the RAISE Act, with full duties from January 2027.

    ContextUS-ST hub →
    14 September 2026Recent

    China publishes AI Safety Governance Framework 3.0

    The national cybersecurity standards committee updated its risk classification and governance measures, adding an annex on AI-agent risks and explicit concern about loss of control.

    ContextCN hub →
    Where regulation bites

    Governance map

    From what is coming to where it applies. Every tracked jurisdiction is shaded by the mean of its five maturity scores. Select a territory to read its regime, scoring notes and tracked instruments.

    Maturity
    0 · None / not started
    1 · Early exploration
    2 · Frameworks in development
    3 · Rules adopted, ramping up
    4 · Comprehensive & operating
    Not tracked

    Shading is the mean of five governance dimensions (Comprehensive law, Sector & use-case rules, Institutions & capacity, Enforcement activity, International engagement). Scroll to zoom, drag to pan, select a country to open its record.

    Governance assessment

    Jurisdiction maturity

    The same jurisdictions scored in detail: the intensity and comprehensiveness of each AI governance regime across five dimensions.

    Jurisdiction
    Scale:
    0 - None / not started
    1 - Early exploration
    2 - Frameworks in development
    3 - Rules adopted, ramping up
    4 - Comprehensive & operating
    Method

    How the radar is built

    Every instrument is placed by stage and effective date rather than by editorial judgement, so the rings roll forward on their own as dates pass. Sources are official texts and primary regulator publications, linked on each instrument.

    A daily scan reads official regulator and government feeds across the tracked jurisdictions and files anything that looks like a governance development into an editorial review queue. Nothing reaches the radar without a human check against the primary text, so the record stays current without becoming automated guesswork.

    Data and methodology

    The instrument set is published as a versioned, machine-readable dataset. Countdowns on this page are recalculated live; the records below are reviewed on a fixed cycle.

    Version
    v2.4
    Last reviewed
    16 October 2026
    Next review
    13 November 2026
    Licence

    The AI Policy Radar dataset is published under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0). You may reuse, adapt and republish it, including commercially, provided you attribute ImpactLab as below.

    ImpactLab AI Policy Radar, v2.4, 16 October 2026. https://impactlabglobal.com/policy-radar. Licensed CC BY 4.0.
    Changelog
    • v2.4 — 16 October 2026
      • Full audit against primary sources across all jurisdictions; every country score re-reviewed on 16 October 2026.
      • Corrected Colorado: enforcement was suspended in court on 27 April 2026 and the law was re-enacted as SB 26-189, effective 1 January 2027.
      • Corrected the New York RAISE Act effective date to 1 January 2027, and Finland's supervision act to Act 1377/2025, in force 1 January 2026.
      • Corrected Sweden (PTS proposed as lead authority, IMY mandated), Norway (Nkom as coordinating authority) and Denmark (three designated authorities).
      • Added EU ratification of the Council of Europe AI Convention, final adoption of the AI Digital Omnibus and its new deepfake prohibition, China's AI-law commitment and Cybersecurity Law AI article, Korea's enforcement decree and fine grace period, Japan's revised AI Basic Plan, India's synthetic-content labelling rules, Singapore's agentic AI framework, Canada's AI for All strategy, the UN Global Dialogue's first session, UK legislative indecision, Saudi PDPL consultation, the UAE AI Control Tower, South Africa's draft AI policy, the Commission's first AI Act enforcement requests to frontier labs, California SB 574 on lawyers' AI use and the Danish Supreme Court ruling on AI-generated abuse material.
      • Score changes: EU enforcement 2 to 3 (AI Act enforcement live since 2 August 2026); India sector rules 2 to 3 (binding synthetic-content rules).
    • v2.3 — 16 October 2026
      • California SB 813 moved from bill to enacted law (signed 9 September with AB 1405 on AI auditors).
      • Added New York RAISE Act registration, opening November 2026.
      • Added Connecticut SB 5 taking effect on 1 October, China AI Safety Governance Framework 3.0, US Executive Order 14434, the UK human rights committee call for an AI Bill, Brazil's delayed AI bill vote and Australia's move toward mandatory standards.
      • Added Saudi Arabia (PDPL, National AI Risk Management Framework) and Qatar (draft National AI Policy), and updated the UAE with its new federal AI and Data Authority; the three now form a Middle East region.
    • v2.2 — 5 September 2026
      • Added the Commission's 31 August designation of ChatGPT as a very large online search engine under the DSA, with the four-month compliance date.
      • Added Connecticut SB 5 (Public Act 26-15) and its 1 October application date.
      • Added California SB 813 as passed by the legislature, with the 30 September signing deadline.
      • Added China's enforcement of pre-development AI ethics review and the G20 transatlantic split.
      • Rebuilt the automated source scan: dead regulator feeds replaced, and a partial scan now reports itself as degraded.
    • v2.1 — 13 August 2026
      • Added instrument permalinks and jurisdiction hubs with stable slugs.
      • Published the machine-readable JSON and CSV exports under CC BY 4.0.
      • Re-verified every EU AI Act application date against the 2026 Digital Omnibus.
    • v2.0 — 18 June 2026
      • Extended coverage to the full Nordic set with maturity scoring.
      • Added the signals timeline as a tracked series alongside instruments.
    • v1.0 — 2 March 2026
      • First public release of the AI Policy Radar instrument set.

    A note on “Context”: where a signal or compliance card shows a Context link, it opens the primary legal instrument or the official announcement it derives from. Where no such source is published, the instrument is named in plain text instead of an inert link.

    Scoring rubric

    Each jurisdiction is scored 0 to 4 on five dimensions. The same scale is applied to every dimension, and every score carries a written note in the jurisdiction panel.

    1. 0None / not started
    2. 1Early exploration
    3. 2Frameworks in development
    4. 3Rules adopted, ramping up
    5. 4Comprehensive & operating
    • Comprehensive law
    • Sector & use-case rules
    • Institutions & capacity
    • Enforcement activity
    • International engagement

    What counts, and what does not

    An instrument enters the record when it is a law, regulation, bill, treaty, standard, official guidance, enforcement action or authority designation that governs the development or deployment of AI, and when a primary source text can be linked.

    Excluded: funding announcements, conferences, consultations without a published position, commentary, and corporate policy. A signal enters the record when a public authority takes a step that changes the probability or shape of a future instrument.

    Coverage

    25 jurisdictions and blocs are tracked: European Union, United States (Federal), US States, United Kingdom, China, Canada, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, India, Brazil, Australia, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Italy, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Nordic Cooperation, Council of Europe, G7 / OECD / UN, African Union. Absence from this list means the jurisdiction is not yet tracked, not that it has no AI regulation. Coverage is deepest in Europe, North America and the Nordics, and thinner in Africa, South America and Central Asia; that gap is a limitation of the record, and additions are welcome.

    Version

    Retrieved 16 October 2026

    Record last verified on publication · 59 instruments · 14 deadlines · 66 signals

    Take the data

    The record is open. Export it, check it against the primary sources, and tell us where we are wrong.

    Citation

    ImpactLab. AI Policy Radar. Oslo: ImpactLab, 2026. Retrieved 16 October 2026. https://impactlabglobal.com/policy-radar

    Corrections

    Send a correction with the primary source to hello@impactlabglobal.com. Accepted corrections are applied to the record and the affected entry is re-dated, so the change is visible in the verification date shown on the instrument.